Super Rugby Round Four Predictions + Futures:

There was a small error in the futures code for last week so if you go back and compare there maybe some significant differences (mainly among the highlanders, hurricanes, and chiefs). I've gone back and triple checked so I'm pretty sure it's fixed. With that said here are our predicted futures for this week: Team…

Super Rugby Round 3 Predictions and Futures

Predictions for this week's Super Rugby. I've got the season simulator up and running so now I'll also post the season long forecasts. Now all the systems are set up I'll be aiming to post these every Thursday evening/Friday morning. I've also include the Pinnacle lines and futures odds. I would not recommend betting on…

Super Rugby Prediction Methodology

This is a brief outline of the methodology behind my super rugby predictions. I will talk about how I produce individual game predictions and also the season predictions. Team Ratings: The core aspect of the system is the team ratings. Each team has two ratings: one for attack, and one for defence. These use the…

Super Rugby Predictions Round 2

I've adapted the Elo system I made for Super Rugby a couple of years back and will be posting predictions for each round's matches. I've posted last week's matches as well in case anyone is interested. There'll be a couple more posts next week with title, playoff, and conference champion odds, as well as a…

Cricket Fielding Metrics

If you have been watching the Big Bash T20 competition you may have noticed that they have been talking about rating fielders as + or - runs. This came about as one game, whilst commentating, Andrew Symonds would mark down when he believed a fielder saved or conceded runs. This inspired me to write something…